President-elect Donald Trump campaigned on a platform of bringing manufacturing jobs back to the US. And in the weeks since his election, Trump has tried to deliver on this promise.
Trump has announced that Ford will keep production of its Lincoln MKC in Kentucky and that Carrier will keep about 800 workers and the production of some air-conditioning units in Indiana.
But Republican Sen. Ben Sasse of Nebraska, a rising GOP star and prominent critic of Trump along the campaign trail, thinks the deals may miss the point entirely.
Sasse posted a series of tweets Thursday that poured cold water on the supposed manufacturing victories for Trump.
“Morning news pretends there’s a simple political solution to the declining [number] of manufacturing jobs,” Sasse wrote. “It’s not true. We should tell the truth.”
Sasse noted - as have others, such as Paul Krugman, the Nobel-winning economist and New York Times columnist - that trying to keep jobs from going overseas is a temporary fix, given the trend toward automation in the industrial sector.
Automation - even more than trade - will continue to shrink the number of manufacturing jobs. This trend is irreversible," Sasse wrote.
Sasse added that manufacturing employment has been declining for some time and output is still on the rise, which means firms are becoming more productive and employment needs to shift elsewhere.
As an example, the Republican lawmaker cited the percentage of Americans who are farmers, which has decreased from 90% of the population in 1790 to just 3% in 1980. This sort of shift will come to manufacturing, he said.
Sasse said "politicians are not good at telling the truth," but they should be honest with Americans about the changing dynamics of the job market. Essentially, people shouldn't expect to have the same factory job as the previous generation, and different training is needed.
Here's the full tweetstorm:
Morning news pretends there's a simple political solution to the declining # of manufacturing jobs.
It's not true.
We should tell the truth— Ben Sasse (@BenSasse) December 1, 2016
Automation--even more than trade--will continue to shrink the number of manufacturing jobs. This trend is irreversible. https://t.co/HASJOIK4x3
— Ben Sasse (@BenSasse) December 1, 2016
Politicians are not good at telling the truth.
We should tell the truth, even when it is unpopular - for example, about coming job changes. https://t.co/aNzzrLfbeD
— Ben Sasse (@BenSasse) December 1, 2016
We should be honest that there will be more, not less, job change in the future.
We should be encouraging prep for disruption & retraining. https://t.co/36kOczakAn
— Ben Sasse (@BenSasse) December 1, 2016
Reminders:
US economy is adding approximately 2 million jobs per year.
It's not nearly enough. https://t.co/fMubAn8knS
— Ben Sasse (@BenSasse) December 1, 2016
In thinking about manufacturing job change, consider history of ag:
1790: 90% of workers were farmers
1840: 69%
1900: 38%
1960 8%
1980s: 3% https://t.co/fMubAn8knS— Ben Sasse (@BenSasse) December 1, 2016
Important reality
US manufacturing output continues to be strong. But it's with fewer people (as in agriculture).
= We’re more productive. https://t.co/PE6ZBPW3LU
— Ben Sasse (@BenSasse) December 1, 2016
Huh?
1. I don't believe in this-worldly utopia
2. Before we make policy, we should start with...Reality
3. Manufacturing #s will decline https://t.co/hjglaem6JJ
— Ben Sasse (@BenSasse) December 1, 2016
Let me get this straight:
Your proposal is politicians should dishonestly promise false stuff instead? 30% o jobs will be in manufacturing? https://t.co/w9hbki2uMu— Ben Sasse (@BenSasse) December 1, 2016
We cld make lots of progress if we started by agreeing on problems.
Diving to the partisan "one answer" before problematizing rarely works. https://t.co/uZGZt4hPGJ
— Ben Sasse (@BenSasse) December 1, 2016